A New York Times analysis of Polymarket data over that period found that it was relatively uncommon for someone to bet a significant sum of money that a U.S. strike would happen by the next day.
But over the course of Friday, more than 150 accounts placed hundreds of bets of at least $1,000, correctly predicting an American strike on Iran by Saturday.
Certainly insider trading, I don’t see it any other way. And yes, I find it credible under the circumstances of the current regime.
➝ Via Hacker News.
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